Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.940861 1.060833 1.191811 1.345673 1.521787 1.717446 1.951797
2024-12-29 0.758962 0.921241 1.113369 1.358694 1.665155 2.037341 2.526596
2025-01-05 0.645782 0.822449 1.043030 1.340746 1.735224 2.244354 2.958269
2025-01-12 0.568325 0.752444 0.992466 1.331487 1.803144 2.443655 3.392231
2025-01-19 0.492165 0.672731 0.916652 1.274461 1.793040 2.528244 3.669093
2025-01-26 0.455615 0.641564 0.901262 1.296035 1.890833 2.769523 4.195846
2025-02-02 0.426200 0.616562 0.890609 1.321033 1.993205 3.024930 4.771927
2025-02-09 0.397185 0.588763 0.872245 1.330948 2.071214 3.248314 5.321383
2025-02-16 0.371078 0.562550 0.853158 1.336583 2.141067 3.463470 5.880774
2025-02-23 0.352473 0.545968 0.846897 1.361056 2.242588 3.739439 6.577751
2025-03-02 0.323742 0.510810 0.807912 1.327400 2.241450 3.838140 6.964918
2025-03-09 0.310284 0.499109 0.805665 1.354873 2.348048 4.136007 7.760108
2025-03-16 0.289073 0.473341 0.778642 1.338102 2.376025 4.298124 8.323062
2025-03-23 0.274966 0.458463 0.768849 1.350932 2.459600 4.573582 9.152815
2025-03-30 0.257225 0.435869 0.743697 1.333108 2.482698 4.733597 9.762519
2025-04-06 0.242489 0.417395 0.724269 1.323906 2.520999 4.926963 10.469685
2025-04-13 0.222163 0.387471 0.681930 1.267238 2.458979 4.907964 10.699529
2025-04-20 0.214477 0.379930 0.679983 1.288677 2.557535 5.235351 11.771293
2025-04-27 0.207770 0.373671 0.679859 1.313518 2.665373 5.594495 12.972154
2025-05-04 0.199640 0.364139 0.672729 1.323371 2.741926 5.892767 14.068750
2025-05-11 0.191581 0.354168 0.663972 1.328970 2.809503 6.177959 15.175840
2025-05-18 0.186172 0.348950 0.664133 1.353289 2.921233 6.578812 16.649928
2025-05-25 0.174904 0.331456 0.638493 1.319845 2.897297 6.652029 17.248352